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Archive for November, 2009

After Hours 11/30/09: Guess Who Beat?

Posted by shawnb1 On November - 30 - 2009

Research Recap submits:

A new discussion paper from the Bank of England looks at the concept of increasing capital requirements on banks during market bubbles and reducing them in times of weak economic conditions when banks are typically reluctant to lend.

Excerpts from The role of macroprudential policy (free pdf download)


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S&P Updates Global Bank Risk-Adjusted Capital Ratios

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

Research Recap submits:

Standard & Poor’s today updated and corrected some of the results of its first global comparison of banks’ risk-adjusted capital adequacy, first published Nov 23. The affected bans are Allied Irish Banks (AIB) (to 4.7% from 5.0%) , Bank of America (BAC) (6.5% from 5.8%) , Danske Bank (DNSKY) (6.1% from 5.4%), and UBS (UBS) (2.4% from 2.2%). S&P said the changes “result from new material information that we have now received. We recalculated the estimated RAC ratio for Rabobank (to 8.3% from 7.8%) due to a computational error. Receipt of new information and a computational error has resulted in a new estimated RAC ratio for BBVA (BBVA).” (to 6.3% from 5.4% )


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Gregory Ness submits:

It seems counterintuitive to suggest that the virtualization market hasn’t already crossed the chasm. After all, over the last three years we’ve seen a stellar VMware (VMW) IPO, Citrix’s (CTXS) heady acquisition of XenSource, and Microsoft’s (MSFT) much celebrated entrance into the virtualization market. VMware’s Q3 revenue was $490 million.
What’s not to like? After all, virtualization has been a bright beacon of hope in an otherwise lackluster IT era. It is perhaps the most powerful enabler of true cloud computing, enabling new scales of efficiency and elasticity. Virtualization has been “all that” and more.
And Gartner recently predicted more problems for data centers in 2010. Couldn’t virtualization help to address these problems? If it does then it could become what Dr. Moore calls a de facto standard. We’re certainly not there yet, despite the size of the virtualization market.
Curing VMotion Sickness
Readers of this column won’t need to be taken yet again down the virtualization-lite path from 2008. Instead let’s take things further to their logical conclusion and discuss what happens when virtual networks (VLANS) eventually get over packed with VMs and start to create a kind of “VMotion sickness” condition.
Before you chuckle, think about the core issue with VLAN-centric virtualization: over time the network becomes increasingly out of touch with the assets attached to it. Movement within VLANs is a nonevent because the virtual networks are each (usually) managed as a single entity. While system movement takes place within VLANs, the static network is essentially unchanged.
Most physical networks have limited visibility inside a VLAN. When virtualization evolved into the production data center the network teams were often the last to know; the initial business case for virtualization was so compelling that it created a kind of velvet revolution within IT which allowed operations teams to automate systems at unprecedented levels while network teams were shackled by manual configurations, committees and manually-updated spreadsheets.
Increased density and movement will create problems as it crosses a threshold and network connectivity is ultimately degraded. The VLANs that enable the capex revolution then become an impediment to flexibility and management because they create isolated islands of automation. Until those islands are connected, the virtualization business case is contained within increasingly dense and complex VLANs.
The IT Locomotive Now Needs New Track
Locomotives created the need for railroads. Just as the locomotive that preceded the golden spike, virtualization creates a compelling case for a more evolved network. Without the transcontinental railroad and other linkages, the business case for the steam engine was limited to incremental gains over manual/horse transportation. The greater the distance the higher the value of the locomotive (versus animal/human-assisted transport).
Today we’re in the period where virtualization has demonstrated the potential of automation/movement, but the network vendors haven’t quite figured out how to fully enable that potential. The result is a kind of dissonance between moving systems and static networks and the inability for IT to bridge these incompatible worlds.
Thus, the term “VMotion sickness” seems as apt as any to describe a condition more teams will eventually face as more locomotives (VMs) are packed onto disconnected tracks (VLANs). And here’s the punch line: if this issue is addressed/solved by the physical or virtual network the genie is out of the bottle and the IT industry will be permanently transformed.
That is why I think it will be solved within the next two years and that the solution will enable a new era of IT investments and capabilities. That new era will be marked by reduced power and operating costs and increased scale and transport capabilities per application/user/system.
Public Companies That Could Benefit
If you think of IT as being strategic to business, then any strategic disruption could have significant effects across industries, economies and even energy consumption demands. It’s a vendors dream to be designed into the new standard.
From a virtualization vendor standpoint (I think that) VMware is still furthest along in collaborating with networking vendors, and the recently announced Acadia venture with Cisco and EMC (EMC) seems to validate this viewpoint. This also speaks well of Cisco with its new servers and first generation UCS. VMware’s leadership and relationship with Cisco best position Acadia as a potential standard. Yet there are plenty of issues that will need to be resolved before victory is assured.
Application delivery leader F5 Networks (FFIV) is strategically placed near the middle of this issue, as their solutions impact the transport and load balances for networks.
The HP (HPQ), IBM (IBM), Juniper (JNPR) coalition could also make for some interesting potentials, if the elephants can dance together with their own unified and branded stacks and containers. HP’s recent acquisition of 3Com (COMS) introduces interesting potentials to the herd as well. Juniper’s new tagline is, coincidentally, "The New Network". Other interestingly positioned players include Citrix and some of the progressive service providers.
Why the Chasm will be Crossed
The first branded container/stack to address the VMotion containment issue and orchestrate stateful, elastic VMotion across (VLANs) today’s isolated islands (including great geographical distances) will have a strategic first-mover advantage in the race to virtualize the data center as virtualization will then set the standard. Until then, expect continued incremental improvements and market positioning exercises.
Disclosure: Long EMC


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Forbes Best Small Companies for 2009: Part V

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

Jae Jun submits:

This is a continuation of the series valuing each of the 200 Forbes Best Small Companies.

You can find the list of stocks and the corresponding intrinsic values as calculated by me with the stock value calculator.


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Staples: Good News Coming? The Market Thinks So

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

optionMONSTER submits:

By Bryan McCormick

As we head into what will become the year-end doldrums, there are just a handful of names that are still reporting earnings. One name, Staples (SPLS), will report Tuesday.


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Retail Sales: A Chart Perspective

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

Investors are focused on retail sales today and the potential for a disappointment in total holiday spending, but a closer look at the longer-term trend in retail sales shows that the consumer isn’t actually rebounding at all. In fact, retail sales have increased less than 5% over the course of the 50%+ rally in stocks. Is this is a sign that retail sales are permanently moderating as consumers deleverage and become more prudent or is this simply a blip on the radar before spending zooms back to all-time highs? Equity investors are certainly betting on the latter.

 CHART OF THE DAY: PUTTING RETAIL SALES IN PERSPECTIVE


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3Com Partners with Leading India IT Outsourcing Firm

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

Zacks.com submits:

Networking major 3Com Corporation (COMS) declared that it has partnered with India’s leading IT services, business solutions and outsourcing company Tata Consultancy Services to successfully conduct the Andhra Pradesh State Wide Area Network ((APSWAN)) project in India. As per this agreement, 3Com will provide enterprise switching, routing and security solutions for the prestigious project that will connect 23 district offices in the state to increase efficiency in government operations.

The government of Andhra Pradesh in India selected TCS for the country’s largest State Wide Area Network (SWAN) project on a five-year Build, Own, Operate and Transfer (BOOT) model. This network infrastructure will help the state government to facilitate various citizen service programs to boost Government to Government ((G2G)) and Government to Citizen ((G2C)) efficiencies with the intention of enhancing the e-governance platform. 3Com will develop applications encompassing transport, healthcare, education and municipality services, which will be operational on the e-governance network backbone, scheduled to be rolled out within 12 months.


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Juniper Networks: The Ethernet Market’s Trojan Horse

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

On October 29th, Juniper Networks (JNPR), a new and powerful entrant in the roughly $5 billion market for Ethernet switches in the data center; announced it had licensed its Junos operating system to privately held BLADE Network Technologies for the development of Junos-based blade server switches. The partnership has the potential to provide Juniper with a highly leveraged channel into the data center, with blade servers from major OEMs serving as Trojan Horses for BLADE switches Running Junos.

The Data Center Fortress


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Playing the Steel Upgrade with ETFs

Posted by admin On November - 30 - 2009

tom lydonTom Lydon (ETF Trends) submits:

Steel ETFsAn analyst has upgraded the U.S. steel sector from “neutral” up to “attractive” on a host of factors. There are a variety of exchange traded funds (ETFs) you can use to take advantage of the boost. Goldman Sachs stock analyst Sal Tharani upgraded the sector Monday to attractive from neutral, and moved the industry into a “conviction buy” list. Scott Eden for TheStreet reports that the analyst made a case for bullishness toward steel because the sector’s share price is “underperforming” relative to the broader market. (Read about the underperforming commodities thus far.)

Other reasons cited in the upgrade:


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